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A Simplified Explanation of Return

  • Robin Goodfellow
  • Feb 10
  • 2 min read

Understanding Real Estate Investment: Cash Flow x Units + Appreciation + Debt Paydown


Investing in real estate can seem complex, but when broken down into simple financial principles, it becomes a powerful wealth-building strategy. The formula Total Return = Cash Flow x Units + Appreciation + Debt Paydowm helps investors understand how properties generate returns over time. Let’s explore a practical example of how real estate investments grow using cash flow, appreciation, and debt paydown.


Imagine you invest $1,000,000 as a down payment to acquire a $4,000,000 property. This deal is financed with $3,000,000 in debt and produces income in three primary ways:

  1. Cash Flow: The net rental income after expenses.

  2. Appreciation: The increase in property value over time.

  3. Debt Paydown: The reduction of the loan principal over time.


Calculating Investment Returns Over 7 Years


1. Cash Flow – 6% Annual Return

A 6% annual cash-on-cash return (through rents) on the $1,000,000 investment means you earn $60,000 per year in cash flow. Over 7 years, this results in: $60,000 x 7 years = $420,000


2. Property Appreciation – 3.5% Annually

The property appreciates at an average rate of 3.5% per year. Over 7 years, the value increases by $1,070,000, making the property worth $5,070,000 at sale.


3. Debt Paydown – 1.5% Per Year

At a 1.5% annual principal reduction, the loan balance decreases by 10.5% over 7 years, amounting to $315,000 in additional equity.


4. Return of Initial Investment

When the property is sold, the investor gets back their original $1,000,000 down payment.


Total Returns Over 7 Years

  • Cash Flow: $420,000

  • Appreciation: $1,070,000

  • Debt Paydown: $315,000

  • Return of Initial Investment: $1,000,000

  • Total Value at Sale: $2,805,000


In this example, the investor turned $1,000,000 into $2,805,000, achieving a total gain of $1,805,000 beyond the original capital.


Total Return Calculation

The total return percentage is calculated as:

Total Profit/Initial Investment ​= 1,805,000​/1,000,000=180.5%

Thus, the total return over 7 years is 180.5%.


Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Calculation

IRR is the percentage that shows how much money an investment is expected to earn over time. It helps investors decide if a project or investment is worth pursuing by comparing it to other options. The higher the IRR, the better the potential return. The estimated IRR for this investment scenario is approximately 15.2% per year.


This example demonstrates how real estate investments could create wealth through cash flow, appreciation, and debt paydown. The combination of these factors generates strong returns over time, making real estate a compelling asset class for investors seeking both income and long-term value growth.

 
 
 

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